Ameriprise Financial (AMP) Stock Still Looks Below Fair Value After Its 86% Run

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Ameriprise Financial has delivered strong gains in recent years, which naturally raises a question for anyone looking at the current share price. Are investors paying a level today that is properly supported by the returns the business earns on its capital base?

  • Over the past 5 years the stock has returned 86.5%, so a lot of optimism about Ameriprise Financial is already embedded in the valuation debate around its returns on capital.

  • Columbia Threadneedle Investments, Ameriprise Financial’s asset management arm, recently launched two new laddered buffer ETFs. This can influence how efficiently the group puts client capital to work and how durable its fee and profit streams look relative to the capital invested in the business.

  • Prefer to judge Ameriprise Financial on earnings? See what Ameriprise Financial’s 10.8x P/E says about the price.

The issue now is whether the returns Ameriprise Financial earns on its capital are strong and resilient enough to justify where the stock trades today.

If you are comparing Ameriprise Financial with other efficient ways to allocate capital, it can be helpful to evaluate it alongside solid balance sheet and fundamentals stocks screener (24 results).

Is Ameriprise Financial Still Cheap on Excess Returns?

The Excess Returns model looks at how profitably Ameriprise Financial can compound shareholder equity above its own funding cost, and in this case that gap is wide. Book value is modeled at $58.75 per share, while stable EPS is estimated at $46.19 per share against a cost of equity of $6.72 per share. That implies excess return of $39.47 per share supported by an average forecast return on equity of 54.95% and a stable book value path toward $84.06 per share.

This framework points to an estimated intrinsic value that the Excess Returns projections put substantially above the current share price of $519.43. Because Columbia Threadneedle’s new laddered buffer ETFs add fee-based products that still lean on Ameriprise Financial’s capital and research platform, the launch helps explain why the model assumes such strong excess returns on equity over time. For readers who want to see how that gap between price and modeled worth is calculated in detail, the full Excess Returns output is available through the link to. Find out what Ameriprise Financial could be worth using our Excess Returns estimate.

The Ameriprise Financial Narrative: What Would Justify Today’s Price?

Narratives for Ameriprise Financial pick up where the valuation puzzle leaves off and outline what kind of future path for growth, profitability and earnings would need to occur for the current share price to look meaningfully higher or lower than it does today on Simply Wall St’s Community page. Rather than giving a single headline number, they show the specific long term assumptions that sit underneath any model output so you can monitor whether reality is tracking that script or drifting away from it.

One of the top narratives on Ameriprise Financial: 6% undervalued

This is the analyst consensus Narrative on Simply Wall St, which compiles analysts’ consensus price target and revenue and earnings forecasts, not one person’s view.

“The practice of returning approximately 85% to 90% of adjusted operating earnings to shareholders over time, as illustrated by capital return of 88% and 91% of operating earnings in Q1 and Q2 2026…”

Discover why this Narrative puts Ameriprise Financial at 6% undervalued.

Ameriprise Financial’s price is only one side of the investment question

Before you put too much weight on any valuation model, it helps to ask who is actually steering Ameriprise Financial and how their pay packets line up with your interests as a shareholder. See who runs Ameriprise Financial and how they are paid.

This article is general in nature and was produced with the assistance of AI automation, based on data and analysis from Simply Wall St. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

Companies discussed in this article include AMP.

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